
Back when the mortgage industry began melting down, there was a strong call for the federal government to get out of the housing business…the government's two big home finance departments, known by the acronyms Fanne Mae and Freddie Mac…never have made direct loans to consumers, but instead guarantee the paper for the banks that do, then Fannie and Freddie package the loans as investment securities, charging investors a premium for the guarantee that their bonds will be safe.
Back in 2008, it looked very shaky for Freddie and Fannie as 170 billion in Tarp money was shuttled around the country to keep those agencies afloat. Well slowly, with interest rates near all-time lows, hiring improving, and the housing market starting to roll again because of pent up demand, Freddie and Fannie look to be solid investment vehicles again. Freddie has reported a 4 billion dollar quarter AND HAS been in the black for the last 6 quarters. It’s so flush it will pay the government a 7 billion dollar dividend next month with all profits going directly to Uncle Sam until that outstanding debt is repaid. The fact that prices are rising means fewer delinquent loans but Freddie’s profitibiity may have its limits - even though interest rates are a bargain lending standards have become much more stringent, meaning the poll of potential mortgage holders is much lower. Freddie is still about 100 billion in the hole to his Uncle Sam - ah that would be those of us paying taxes, but while in a comeback, there's still plenty of room for growth and perhaps over time, full restitution by Freddie Mac. All good as long as the greed factor can be kept in check - as long as underwriters pay attention to a borrower's debt-to-income ratio. As long as Freddie remains vigilant and transparent. If Freddie's quarterly profit trend continues, it would be a refreshing performance by a much maligned govenment agency. In fact, the administration says, if freddie keeps his nose clean taxpayers could actually see everything paid back and a 50 billion dollar profit by 2023.







